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Author Satchell, Stephen
Title The Analytics of Risk Model Validation
Imprint London : Elsevier Science & Technology, 2007
©2008
book jacket
Descript 1 online resource (217 pages)
text txt rdacontent
computer c rdamedia
online resource cr rdacarrier
Series Quantitative Finance Ser
Quantitative Finance Ser
Note Front Cover -- The Analytics of Risk Model Validation -- Copyright Page -- Table of Contents -- About the editors -- About the contributors -- Preface -- Chapter 1 Determinants of small business default -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data, methodology and summary statistics -- 3. Empirical results of small business default -- 4. Conclusion -- References -- Notes -- Chapter 2 Validation of stress testing models -- Abstract -- 1. Why stress test? -- 2. Stress testing basics -- 3. Overview of validation approaches -- 4. Subsampling tests -- 5. Ideal scenario validation -- 6. Scenario validation -- 7. Cross-segment validation -- 8. Back-casting -- 9. Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 3 The validity of credit risk model validation methods -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Measures of discriminatory power -- 3. Uncertainty in credit risk model validation -- 4. Confidence interval for ROC -- 5. Bootstrapping -- 6. Optimal rating combinations -- 7. Concluding remarks -- References -- Chapter 4 A moments-based procedure for evaluating risk forecasting models -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Preliminary analysis -- 3. The likelihood ratio test -- 4. A moments test of model adequacy -- 5. An illustration -- 6. Conclusions -- 7. Acknowledgements -- References -- Notes -- Appendix -- 1. Error distribution -- 2. Two-piece normal distribution -- 3. t-Distribution -- 4. Skew-t distribution -- Chapter 5 Measuring concentration risk in credit portfolios -- Abstract -- 1. Concentration risk and validation -- 2. Concentration risk and the IRB model -- 3. Measuring name concentration -- 4. Measuring sectoral concentration -- 5. Numerical example -- 6. Future challenges of concentration risk measurement -- 7. Summary -- References -- Notes -- Appendix A.1: IRB risk weight functions and concentration risk
Appendix A.2: Factor surface for the diversification factor -- Appendix A.3 -- Chapter 6 A simple method for regulators to cross-check operational risk loss models for banks -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Background -- 3. Cross-checking procedure -- 4. Justification of our approach -- 5. Justification for a lower bound using the lognormal distribution -- 6. Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 7 Of the credibility of mapping and benchmarking credit risk estimates for internal rating systems -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Why does the portfolio's structure matter? -- 3. Credible credit ratings and credible credit risk estimates -- 4. An empirical illustration -- 5. Credible mapping -- 6. Conclusions -- 7. Acknowledgements -- References -- Appendix -- 1. Further elements of modern credibility theory -- 2. Proof of the credibility fundamental relation -- 3. Mixed Gamma-Poisson distribution and negative binomial -- 4. Calculation of the Bühlmann credibility estimate under the Gamma-Poisson model -- 5. Calculation of accuracy ratio -- Chapter 8 Analytic models of the ROC curve: Applications to credit rating model validation -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Theoretical implications and applications -- 3. Choices of distributions -- 4. Performance evaluation on the AUROC estimation with simulated data -- 5. Summary -- 6. Conclusions -- 7. Acknowledgements -- References -- Note -- Appendix -- 1. The properties of AUROC for normally distributed sample -- Chapter 9 The validation of the equity portfolio risk models -- Abstract -- 1. Linear factor models -- 2. Building a time series model -- 3. Building a statistical factor model -- 4. Building models with known beta's -- 5. Forecast construction and evaluation -- 6. Diagnostics -- 7. Time horizons and data frequency -- 8. The residuals -- 9. Monte Carlo procedures -- 10. Conclusions
References -- Chapter 10 Dynamic risk analysis and risk model evaluation -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Volatility over time and the cumulative variance -- 3. Beta over time and cumulative covariance -- 4. Dynamic risk model evaluation -- 5. Summary -- References -- Chapter 11 Validation of internal rating systems and PD estimates -- Abstract -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Regulatory background -- 3. Statistical background -- 4. Monotonicity of conditional PDs -- 5. Discriminatory power of rating systems -- 6. Calibration of rating systems -- 7. Conclusions -- References -- Notes -- Index
The first book to provide research and guidance on carrying out risk model validation under Basel II requirements
Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2020. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries
Link Print version: Satchell, Stephen The Analytics of Risk Model Validation London : Elsevier Science & Technology,c2007 9780750681582
Subject Risk management - Mathematical models
Electronic books
Alt Author Christodoulakis, George A
Satchell, Stephen
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