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Author Hunt, W. Ben (William Ben), author
Title Getting to war : predicting international conflict with mass media indicators / W. Ben Hunt
Imprint Ann Arbor : University of Michigan Press, 1997
book jacket
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 Euro-Am Studies Lib  355.02 H915 1997    AVAILABLE    30500100873606
Descript 304 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
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Note Includes bibliographical references (pages 289-299) and index
Ch. 1. The Dilemma of Getting to War -- Ch. 2. Predicting War in Theory -- Ch. 3. Testing the Theory -- Ch. 4. Predicting War in Practice: Crisis and War -- Ch. 5. Getting to War in U.S. Diplomatic History -- Ch. 6. Conclusion and Implications for Theory -- App. l. Data Sets -- App. 2. Coding Instructions, Nations and Newspapers -- App. 3. U.S. Editorial Information
This book shows how to predict wars. More specifically, it tells us how to anticipate in a timely fashion the scope and extent of interstate conflict. By focusing on how all governments - democratic or not - seek to secure public support before undertaking risky moves such as starting a war, Getting to War provides a methodology for identifying a regime's intention to launch a conflict well in advance of the actual initiation
Getting to War will be of value to political scientists interested in international disputes and national security studies as well as social scientists interested in media studies and political communication. The statistical analysis is rigorous, but presented in an accessible fashion, making this book appropriate for advanced undergraduates as well as the traditional academic audience. General readers with an interest in military or diplomatic history - particularly U.S. history - will find that Getting to War provides an entirely new perspective on how to understand wars and international crises
Subject War -- Forecasting
Mass media and war
War in mass media
Political indicators
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