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作者 Connable, Ben
書名 Embracing the fog of war : assessment and metrics in counterinsurgency / Ben Connable
出版項 Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2012
國際標準書號 9780833058157 (pbk. : alk. paper)
0833058150 (pbk. : alk. paper)
book jacket
館藏地 索書號 處理狀態 OPAC 訊息 條碼
 歐美所圖書館  355.02 C76214 2012    在架上  -  30500101445743
說明 xxxi, 308 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 26 cm
附註 Also issued online
Includes bibliographical references (p. 289-308)
Concepts that shape counterinsurgency assessment -- Centralized assessment theory and pattern and trend analysis -- The effects-based approach to assessment -- Choosing core metrics -- Vietnam-era assessment -- Assessment in Afghanistan -- Why does centralized assessment fail in counterinsurgency? -- Conclusions, recommendations, and options -- A proposed alternative to centralized assessment
Campaign assessments help decisionmakers in the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), Congress, and the executive branch shape what tend to be difficult and lengthy counterinsurgency (COIN) campaigns. Assessment informs critical decisions, including the allocation of resources and major shifts in strategy. The complex and chaotic environment of the typical COIN campaign presents vexing challenges to assessment, and efforts to overcome these challenges are mired in an overreliance on aggregated quantitative data that are often inaccurate and misleading. This comprehensive examination of COIN assessment as practiced through early 2011, as described in the literature and doctrine, and as applied in two primary case studies (Vietnam and Afghanistan), reveals weaknesses and gaps in this centralized, quantitative approach. The author proposes an alternative process -- contextual assessment -- that accounts for the realities of the COIN environment and the needs of both policymakers and commanders. Since this manuscript was completed in mid-2011, various elements of DoD have published new doctrine on assessment, some of which addresses criticisms raised in this report. The International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan has also revamped its assessment process
主題 Counterinsurgency -- United States -- Evaluation
Counterinsurgency -- Afghanistan -- Evaluation
Counterinsurgency -- Vietnam -- Evaluation
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