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作者 Oliker, Olga
書名 Assessing Russia's Decline : Trends and Implications for the United States and the U.S. Air Force
出版項 Santa Monica : RAND Corporation, The, 2002
©2002
國際標準書號 9780833033840 (electronic bk.)
9780833030955
book jacket
說明 1 online resource (153 pages)
text txt rdacontent
computer c rdamedia
online resource cr rdacarrier
附註 Intro -- PREFACE -- CONTENTS -- FIGURES -- SUMMARY -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- Chapter One INTRODUCTION: STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF RUSSIA'S DECLINE -- DECLINING, FAILING, AND DYSFUNCTIONAL STATES -- IS RUSSIA IN DECLINE? -- Chapter Two REGIONAL AUTONOMY OR INCREASED CENTRALIZATION? -- TRENDS TOWARD POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC DECENTRALIZATION -- GOVERNMENT RESPONSE -- Chapter Three THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY -- DEMONETIZATION, REFORM, AND POVERTY -- CAPITAL FLIGHT -- CRIME, CORRUPTION, AND THE SHADOW ECONOMY -- TURNAROUND? -- Chapter Four RUSSIA'S POLITICAL FUTURE: WHITHER DEMOCRACY AND FREEDOM? -- Chapter Five THE PEOPLE OF RUSSIA: ASSET OR LIABILITY? -- DEMOGRAPHICS -- ETHNICITY AND RACISM -- Chapter Six THE RUSSIAN MILITARY -- PUTIN AND THE MILITARY -- MILITARY REGIONALIZATION -- CONVENTIONAL FORCES: PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT -- NUCLEAR STRATEGY AND FORCES -- COMMAND AND CONTROL AND THE DANGER OF INADVERTENT NUCLEAR USE -- Chapter Seven WEAK LINKS: ROAD, RAIL, AND NUCLEAR POWER -- TRANSPORT AND DISTRIBUTION -- POWER PLANTS AND OTHER CIVILIAN AND MILITARY NUCLEAR FACILITIES -- Chapter Eight ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIOS -- WAR IN ASIA -- The Scenario -- Implications -- NUCLEAR ACCIDENT -- The Scenario -- Implications -- TERRORIST USE OF NUCLEAR MATERIALS -- The Scenario -- Implications -- WAR IN THE CAUCASUS -- The Scenario -- Implications -- SCENARIO IMPLICATIONS -- Chapter Nine NEXT STEPS: PLANNING FOR AND PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES -- PLANNING FOR CONTINGENCIES -- PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES -- Chapter Ten THE AIR FORCE ROLE -- SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY
Continuing trends toward military, political, economic, and social decline in Russia threaten the interests of the United States and its allies. Moscow?s capacity to govern is called into question by increasing crime and corruption (and by political and economic regionalization). Both the military nuclear arsenal and the civilian nuclear power sector present risks of materials theft or diversion, as well as of tragic accident. An increasingly aging and ailing population bodes ill for Russia?s future. Reversing the country?s economic decline and rebuilding an effective military have proven difficult for the financially strapped government. While improvements, especially in the economic realm, are now evident, their sustainability is far from certain. The future development of these trends is critical to U.S. interests. Nuclear material from Russia could fall into the hands of terrorists?organized crime in Russia is part of a multinational network with links to global and local terror. Russia is a major oil and gas producer and transit state, and the U.S. government has identified energy interests as key to national security. A humanitarian crisis in Russia could threaten U.S. allies with refugee flows, environmental crisis, or conflict spillover. In many scenarios, it seems likely that the United States would respond. If so, the U.S. Air Force is certain to be called upon for transportation and perhaps military missions in a very demanding environment
Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2020. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries
鏈接 Print version: Oliker, Olga Assessing Russia's Decline : Trends and Implications for the United States and the U.S. Air Force Santa Monica : RAND Corporation, The,c2002 9780833030955
主題 United States. -- Air Force.;Armies -- Russia.;Russia (Federation) -- Strategic aspects
Electronic books
Alt Author Charlick-Paley, Tanya
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