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作者 Hunt, W. Ben (William Ben), author
書名 Getting to war : predicting international conflict with mass media indicators / W. Ben Hunt
出版項 Ann Arbor : University of Michigan Press, 1997
國際標準書號 0472107518
9780472107513
book jacket
館藏地 索書號 處理狀態 OPAC 訊息 條碼
 歐美所圖書館  355.02 H915    在架上    30500100873606
說明 304 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
text txt rdacontent
unmediated n rdamedia
volume nc rdacarrier
附註 Includes bibliographical references (pages 289-299) and index
Ch. 1. The Dilemma of Getting to War -- Ch. 2. Predicting War in Theory -- Ch. 3. Testing the Theory -- Ch. 4. Predicting War in Practice: Crisis and War -- Ch. 5. Getting to War in U.S. Diplomatic History -- Ch. 6. Conclusion and Implications for Theory -- App. l. Data Sets -- App. 2. Coding Instructions, Nations and Newspapers -- App. 3. U.S. Editorial Information
This book shows how to predict wars. More specifically, it tells us how to anticipate in a timely fashion the scope and extent of interstate conflict. By focusing on how all governments - democratic or not - seek to secure public support before undertaking risky moves such as starting a war, Getting to War provides a methodology for identifying a regime's intention to launch a conflict well in advance of the actual initiation
Getting to War will be of value to political scientists interested in international disputes and national security studies as well as social scientists interested in media studies and political communication. The statistical analysis is rigorous, but presented in an accessible fashion, making this book appropriate for advanced undergraduates as well as the traditional academic audience. General readers with an interest in military or diplomatic history - particularly U.S. history - will find that Getting to War provides an entirely new perspective on how to understand wars and international crises
主題 War -- Forecasting
Mass media and war
War in mass media
Political indicators
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